BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 274 Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (6-15) Overall: (11-21) Overall Strength = 15.90
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home L 10.25 68 71 1 257 ( 16- 13) W Illinois -5.65 2.65
2 11-10-2022 Away W 18.91 54 49 1 342 ( 9- 22) E Illinois 3.00 2.00
3 11-12-2022 Away W 25.04 69 67 1 221 ( 21- 10) Northwestern LA 9.14 -7.14
4 11-17-2022 Home L 13.29 67 70 1 221 ( 21- 10) Northwestern LA -2.61 -0.39
5 11-21-2022 Neutral L 8.43 61 77 1 135 ( 13- 18) LSU -7.47 -8.53
6 11-22-2022 Neutral L 9.74 66 78 1 173 ( 16- 15) Western Kentucky -6.16 -5.84
7 11-23-2022 Neutral L 5.07 44 57 1 236 ( 9- 21) Rhode Island -10.83 -2.17
8 12-01-2022 Away L * 19.58 67 70 1 1 226 ( 17- 15) Murray St 3.68 -6.68
9 12-04-2022 Home W * 31.93 87 77 1 122 ( 21- 11) Belmont 16.03 -6.03
10 12-07-2022 Home W 15.19 87 81 1 321 ( 8- 23) Eastern Michigan -0.71 6.71
11 12-10-2022 Home W 19.78 77 71 1 241 ( 19- 14) SIUE 3.88 2.12
12 12-17-2022 Neutral L 9.02 69 83 1 160 ( 20- 11) Ball St -6.88 -7.12
13 12-19-2022 Home W 24.85 66 52 1 297 ( 11- 20) Chicago St 8.94 5.06
14 12-28-2022 Away L * 14.06 51 55 1 294 ( 12- 20) IL Chicago -1.84 -2.16
15 12-31-2022 Home L * 10.88 60 66 1 212 ( 14- 18) Northern Iowa -5.03 -0.97
16 01-04-2023 Home L * 16.10 67 76 1 92 ( 22- 12) Indiana St 0.19 -9.19
17 01-07-2023 Away W * 19.80 69 61 1 348 ( 5- 27) Evansville 3.90 4.10
18 01-11-2023 Home W * 30.40 76 66 1 1 149 ( 17- 15) Missouri St 14.49 -4.49
19 01-14-2023 Away L * 16.47 57 69 1 127 ( 23- 10) S Illinois 0.56 -12.56
20 01-18-2023 Away L * 21.63 63 65 1 212 ( 14- 18) Northern Iowa 5.72 -7.72
21 01-21-2023 Home L * -8.31 51 71 1 287 ( 11- 21) Valparaiso -24.22 4.22
22 01-25-2023 Away L * 30.15 75 79 1 1 82 ( 25- 8) Bradley 14.25 -18.25
23 01-29-2023 Home W * 27.72 72 66 1 127 ( 23- 10) S Illinois 11.81 -5.81
24 02-01-2023 Home W * 17.31 68 62 1 1 294 ( 12- 20) IL Chicago 1.41 4.59
25 02-04-2023 Away L * 13.68 75 90 1 122 ( 21- 11) Belmont -2.22 -12.78
26 02-08-2023 Home L * 9.40 61 79 1 82 ( 25- 8) Bradley -6.50 -11.50
27 02-11-2023 Away L * 13.44 76 81 1 287 ( 11- 21) Valparaiso -2.46 -2.54
28 02-15-2023 Home L * 14.83 75 76 1 226 ( 17- 15) Murray St -1.07 0.07
29 02-18-2023 Away L * 15.85 64 80 1 92 ( 22- 12) Indiana St -0.06 -15.94
30 02-22-2023 Away L * 3.13 51 82 1 81 ( 26- 7) Drake -12.77 -18.23
31 02-26-2023 Home W * 24.05 72 53 1 348 ( 5- 27) Evansville 8.15 10.85
32 03-02-2023 Neutral L * 7.25 62 75 1 212 ( 14- 18) Northern Iowa -8.65 -4.35
Averages 15.90 66.5 70.5
Best game: 31.93 = 10 point win over Belmont
Worst game: -8.31 = 20 point loss to Valparaiso
Team stdev: 8.67